FAQ
Frequently asked questions
Everything you need to know about what PriCalc is, how it works, and what it doesn't do.
Is PriCalc a picks service?
No. PriCalc does not give picks, recommendations, or advice on what to bet. It's a research tool that shows you how often a prop has hit historically — and how confident you should be in that number based on sample size. What you do with that context is entirely your call.
What sports does PriCalc cover?
PriCalc is a multi-sport prop research platform. WNBA is live now — MLB, NFL, and college football are on the way. NBA returns for the 2026–27 season.
Are these results predictions?
No. PriCalc outputs are historical frequencies — not forecasts. A range of 60%–74% means that based on past games, we estimate the prop's underlying hit rate is somewhere in that band. It does not mean the prop will hit tonight. Player performance is volatile, and past data is one input among many.
What data does PriCalc use?
PriCalc pulls NBA and WNBA player game log data from licensed data providers. Data is ingested on a regular schedule and stored in our database. Playoff game data is tracked separately and available as a filter.
What is Range Radar?
Range Radar is a paid plan feature that ingests tonight's prop lines every morning and runs the full PriCalc analysis pipeline on them automatically. You open Range Radar, and the slate is already pre-analyzed — no manual entry needed. You can filter by team, stat type, or direction, and click any card to run a deeper analysis. WNBA is live now (FanDuel lines); NBA returns for the 2026–27 season.
Why do playoff samples get smaller?
In a regular season, a player might appear in 70+ games. In a single playoff round, there are at most 7. Filter to 'First Round only' for a specific player and you might have 15–25 games total across multiple playoff runs — and that's if they've been in the league long enough. Smaller samples mean wider uncertainty ranges and more cautious interpretation.
What does the small-sample warning mean?
When a filtered sample has fewer than 15 qualifying games, PriCalc shows an amber warning. This doesn't mean the result is meaningless — it means the range is wider and you should treat the data as a signal rather than a verdict. The math still runs; it just tells you when to be more careful.
What does the probability range mean?
Instead of showing a single number (e.g., '60%'), PriCalc shows a range that reflects how confident the estimate is given the sample size. Fewer games = wider range. More games = tighter range. This prevents the false precision that comes from treating small samples as definitive.
What is Empirical Bayes shrinkage?
When sample sizes are tiny, raw percentages can mislead. A player hitting a prop 3 of 3 times shows as 100% — but that's probably not their true rate. To keep small filtered samples from producing extreme numbers, PriCalc pulls the filtered estimate toward the player's own full-season rate. The smaller the sample, the more weight goes to the season baseline; as the sample grows, the season anchor fades. Statisticians call this Empirical Bayes shrinkage — we call it being honest about how much to trust a small window of data.
Who is PriCalc for?
PriCalc is built for prop bettors across every sport who want real data behind their decisions. You don't need to be a statistician — but you should be comfortable with the idea that historical frequency is useful context, not a guaranteed outcome. If you're looking for someone to tell you what to bet, this isn't that tool.
How often is data updated?
Season data is updated regularly throughout the season. Range Radar's daily slate data is ingested each morning from our licensed sportsbook data providers. Playoff game data is tracked and flagged separately so you can analyze postseason performance independently from regular season.
Can I cancel my subscription anytime?
Yes. Subscriptions are monthly. You can cancel at any time from the billing page — your access continues until the end of the current billing period.
What are the tiers?
Free: 5 prop analyses per day, core features. Pro ($11.99/month): unlimited analyses, context filters, and Range Radar. Pro starts with a 7-day free trial.
Is there a free trial?
Yes. The Pro plan starts with a 7-day free trial. A card is required to start — if you cancel before the trial ends, you won't be charged. After the trial, the plan bills at $11.99/month until you cancel.